Peer-Reviewed Publications

About the photo

Wildfires are a natural part of the boreal ecosystem. Wildfires help maintain vegetation diversity, providing suitable habitats for wildlife, but wildfires can also present a threat to human values.

Alaska has seen the frequency of large wildfire seasons increase recently, with four of the top 10 largest years (since 1940) occurring since 2004.

The area burned each year in Alaska varies widely, ranging from a few hundred thousand to several million acres. Since 2004, wildfires have burned more than 38,000 square miles in Alaska — an area larger than the state of Indiana.

Models predict that the area burned per decade will double again by the middle of the century. We need to understand how this may affect landscapes, communities, wildlife, and other resources.


Journal articles published by ACCAP personnel

2011Evidence and implications of recent and projected climate change in Alaska’s forest ecosystems2011forests
2012Wildfire Management and Forecasting Fire Potential: The Roles of Climate Information and Social Networks in the Southwest United States2012social-science wildfire
2018Fourth National Climate Assessment: Alaska Chapter2018national-climate-assessment
2012Rebuilding Alaska Foodsheds: No Shortage of Good Ideas2012economy
2012Is Alaska’s Boreal Forest Now Crossing a Major Ecological Threshold?2012forests
2012Confronting Climate Change: Leadership and Action in the Face of Scientific Uncertainty2012social-science
2012The United States National Climate Assessment—Alaska Technical Regional Report2012national-climate-assessment
2012Climate of Alaska: Technical Input to the 2013 National Climate Assessment2012national-climate-assessment
2012Oceans and Marine Resources in a Changing Climate: Technical Input to the 2013 National Climate Assessment2012national-climate-assessment
2012Fisheries and Food Security in Alaska2012fisheries
2013Alternative Perspectives on the Sustainability of Alaska’s Commercial Fisheries2013fisheries
2013Future Arctic marine access: analysis and evaluation of observations, models, and projections of sea ice2013sea-ice
2013Indigenous Frameworks and Observations of Climate Change in Alaska2013tek
2013Seafood as local food: Food security and locally caught seafood on Alaska’s Kenai Peninsula2013fisheries
2013Melting Ice: What is Happening to Arctic Sea Ice, and What Does It Mean for Us?2013sea-ice
2013Simulating the Effects of Climate Change on Fire Regimes in Arctic Biomes: Implications for Caribou and Moose Habitat2013wildfire
2014Statistically downscaled projections of snow/rain partitioning for Alaska2014modeling
2013Adapting science to a warming world – Global Environmental Change2013sci-comm
2013Local Perceptions of the Sustainability of Alaska’s Highly Contested Cook Inlet Salmon Fisheries2013fisheries
2013Sense of Place for Indigenous and Western Science Partners in Climate Change Assessment and Adaptation in Alaska2013social-science tek
2014Thaw Settlement Hazard of Permafrost Related to Climate Warming in Alaska2014permafrost
2014Using Climate Divisions to Analyze Variations and Trends in Alaska Temperature and Precipitation2014climate-divisions
2014Third National Climate Assessment: Alaska Chapter2014national-climate-assessment
2014Ocean Acidification Risk Assessment for Alaska’s Fishery Sector2014fisheries ocean-acid
2015Alaskan stakeholder-defined research needs in the context of climate change2015research-needs
2015Gauging perceptions of ocean acidification in Alaska2015ocean-acid
2015The role of remote engagement in supporting boundary chain networks across Alaska2015social-science
2016Air temperature. In: The Arctic, State of the Climate in 2015, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society2016weather-climate
2016Climate Change and Alaska Fisheries2016fisheries
2016Seasons of Stress: Understanding the Dynamic Nature of People’s Ability to Respond to Change and Surprise2016social-science
2016An Assessment Of The Role Of Anthropogenic Climate Change In The Alaska Fire Season Of 20152016wildfire
2017Planning for climate change impacts on hydropower in the Far North2017hydropower
2017The Exceptionally Warm Winter of 2015/16 in Alaska2017weather-climate
2017Conceptualizing the science-practice interface: lessons learned from a collaborative network on the front-line of climate change2017sci-comm
2017Projections of Twenty-First-Century Climate Extremes for Alaska via Dynamical Downscaling and Quantile Mapping2017modeling
2017Diagnosing water security in the rural North with an environmental security framework2017water
2018Modeling Winter Precipitation Over the Juneau Icefield, Alaska, Using a Linear Model of Orographic Precipitation2018modeling
2018Assessment of Alaska Rain-on-Snow Events Using Dynamical Downscaling2018modeling
2018Economic Effects of Climate Change in Alaska2018economy
2019Variability of sea ice over decadal and longer timescales2019sea-ice