Focus Area: Extreme Events

Extreme events are increasing in Alaska

Alaska is warming at over twice the rate of other parts of the globe. Along with this gradual change, the intensity and frequency of extreme climate events is increasing. Temperature extremes, low sea ice events, coastal erosion, and other shifts are causing more wildfire, drought, avalanches and landslides. These extreme events pose great risk to infrastructure, food security, and public health and safety. Rural communities, many of which are only accessible by air or water, are among the most vulnerable.

For Alaska and the Arctic as a whole, people need more information on extreme event impacts, the seasonal and sub-seasonal predictability of extreme events, and future projections.

ACCAP’s work on extreme events

ACCAP’s work on extreme events includes three interrelated components:

  1. documenting and assessing impacts;
  2. analyzing historical and projected change; and 
  3. engaging Alaska communities and other sectors, such as the wildfire management community. 

ACCAP approaches this extreme events work by bringing together climate science, place-based knowledge, and practitioners' experience to interpret and apply scientific information in a way that solves real-world problems. ACCAP’s work focuses on extreme temperatures, heavy rain events causing flooding, heavy snow, drought, freezing rain and high-wind events.

ACCAP people who work on extreme events

Recent stories

Typhoon leaves flooded Alaska villages facing a storm recovery far tougher than most Americans will ever experience

By Rick Thoman | October 20, 2025

This story originally appeared in The Conversation. Remnants of a powerful typhoon swept into Western Alaska’s Yukon-Kuskokwim Delta on Oct. 12, 2025, producing a storm surge that flooded villages as…

Alaska Fellow chronicles past impactful extreme events

By Heather McFarland | June 27, 2024

The frequency and intensity of wildfires, coastal storms, flooding, landslides, avalanches and other extreme events are increasing in Alaska. An understanding of past events helps people plan for the future,…

ACCAP projects on extreme events

TitleStart yearStatus
Avalanche assessment and prediction in Alaska2021Ongoing
Modeling climate drivers of traditional food intake in Alaska Native Communities2025Ongoing
Arctic Report Card2006Ongoing
Southeast Alaska Drought2022Completed
Alaska weather station data availability2023Completed
Alaska’s Changing Environment2019Ongoing
StoryMap: Precipitation extremes in Southeast Alaska2023Completed
Historic extreme events library2023Ongoing
S2S Sea Ice Information2022Ongoing
Southeast Alaska Drought and Extreme Events2022Completed
Alaska Drought Webinar Series2021Completed
Tribal climate adaptation planning in Nome2015Completed
Strategies for fostering socio-economic wellbeing in northern US and Russian communities2015Completed
Hollings Scholar: Impacts of extreme weather events in Alaska2014Completed
Sea ice and weather modeling data use in search and rescue operations in the Arctic: a case study in Utqiagvik, Alaska2017Completed
Projecting changes to extreme weather and climate for Alaska during the 21st century2015Ongoing
Developing sea ice and weather forecasting tools to improve situational awareness and crisis response in the Arctic2017Completed
Societal impacts of extreme weather and climate events in Nome, Alaska2017Completed
Case Study: What are the most effective ways to relay glacial outburst hazard information to stakeholder groups in Juneau?2018Completed
Building resilience to extreme events and water hazard planning in rural communities2018Completed
Analysis of current and projected economic effects of climate change in Alaska2015Completed
Analog forecasting of sea ice2015Completed
Distance learning modules on climate decision support in the Arctic2017Completed